The market moved
+0.4ppin 24h · now 1¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $33.20
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the latest provided data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the latest provided data — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.