The market moved
-2.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?
Weather · resolves Nov 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the latest provided data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the latest provided data — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.