The market moved

-8.0ppin 24h · now 66¢

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $21.91

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 66¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on epoch.ai — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: epoch.ai — https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.