The market moved
+60.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?
Geopolitics · resolves May 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 60.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nytimes.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nytimes.com — https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.