The market moved
-2.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Other · resolves Feb 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on opm.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: opm.gov — https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.