The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

Other · resolves Apr 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/30/style/magnani-rocca-art-heist-italy-scli-intl).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.