The market moved
+17.1ppin 24h · now 100¢
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 17.1pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://abcnews.go.com/Business/video/investigation-underway-apparent-tesla-arson-attacks-119962366.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.