The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Exact Score: CA Sarmiento 0 - 0 AA Argentinos Juniors?
Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $106.37
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.