The market moved
+20.0ppin 24h · now 84¢
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?
Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $18.7K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 84¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.