The market moved
-12.0ppin 24h · now 31¢
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Sports · resolves Aug 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 16.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.