The market moved
+62.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
CA San Telmo vs. Deportivo Moron: Deportivo Moron 1st Half O/U 0.5
Other · resolves Aug 22 · vol $26.66
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 62.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.