The market moved
+10.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires?
Sports · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.timesnownews.com/world/us/us-news/arsonists-caught-setting-fires-in-302-pico-in-santa-monica-video-amid-los-angeles-fire-surfaces-article-117073863).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.