The market moved

+8.0ppin 24h · now 30¢

San Marino: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Andrea Pellegrino

Sports · resolves Aug 3 · vol $589.06

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 30¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.