The market moved

+1.6ppin 24h · now 49¢

Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Sports · resolves Jul 15 · vol $7.5K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 49¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.