The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $1.54

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp result — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official ATP result.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.