The market moved

-24.0ppin 24h · now 43¢

Marin Cilic vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $98.41

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official ATP statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.