The market moved

-21.9ppin 24h · now 50¢

Lincoln (Doubles): Ayeni/Chopra vs Giese/Rafiq

Sports · resolves Jul 21 · vol $895.83

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.9pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.