The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Ilkley: August Holmgren vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $3.2K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.