The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 53¢

Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez

Sports · resolves Jul 23 · vol $10.6K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 53¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.