The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon
Sports · resolves May 25 · vol $12.1K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.