The market moved
-4.6ppin 24h · now 72¢
Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado
Sports · resolves Jul 21 · vol $621.43
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 72¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.