The market moved

-11.0ppin 24h · now 51¢

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Blockx

Sports · resolves Jun 3 · vol $113.0K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 51¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.