The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now 47¢

Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzsch

Sports · resolves Jul 14 · vol $2.6K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp tour data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official ATP Tour data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.