The market moved
+31.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 31.9pp shift. Resolution depends on data.giss.nasa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: data.giss.nasa.gov — https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.