The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 16¢

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Macro · resolves Nov 5 · vol $58.09

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the bank rate resulting from the november 2026 meeting of the bank of england’s monetar — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetar — https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.