Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the august 2026 mee — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the August 2026 mee — https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.