The market moved

-53.9ppin 24h · now

Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves Nov 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 53.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.