The market moved
-4.3ppin 24h · now 7¢
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $2.10
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.3pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.