The market moved

+19.6ppin 24h · now 100¢

Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?

Other · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 19.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.