The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 54¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ET
Crypto · resolves Jun 29 · vol $78.64
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 1.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.