The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 50¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET

Crypto · resolves May 14 · vol $19.61

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 36.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET | Orrery