The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 51¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET
Crypto · resolves May 19 · vol $25.25
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 51¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.