The market moved
+11.0ppin 24h · now 62¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?
Crypto · resolves May 18 · vol $17.0K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 62¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.