The market moved
+4.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to ibge's (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to IBGE's (https://www — https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/indicators#desemprego).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.