The market moved
-49.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Crypto · resolves Aug 7 · vol $53.9K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the twap chainlink data stream for the asset pair btc/usd, not according to any other sources or spot markets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets — https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.