The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 51¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Crypto · resolves May 18 · vol $6.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 51¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chainlink data stream btc/usd, not according to other sources or spot markets — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets — https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 1.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.