The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 15¢

Will PFC Levski Sofia vs. FK Spartak 1918 Varna end in a draw?

Sports · resolves Aug 22 · vol $67.16

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 1.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.