Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-05/bulgarian-government-faces-no-confidence-motion-amid-protests?embedded-checkout=true.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.