Canada backs out of F-35 deal?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on the first official announcement to this effect, regardless of later developments — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the first official announcement to this effect, regardless of later developments — https://apnews.com/article/f35-canada-trump-0d3bf192d3490d87570d48475ff2c3a6.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.