The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?

Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc for whether a system has made landfall in the contiguous united states at a stre — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether a system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a stre — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.