The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $420.94

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.