The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 19¢

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $329.65

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 19¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 24.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.