The market moved

-17.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves Aug 9 · vol $237.11

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 28.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.