The market moved

-23.4ppin 24h · now

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5

Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $27.3K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 23.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-23.4pp · Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5 | Orrery