The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $30.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.