The market moved
-5.0ppin 24h · now 29¢
CD Universidad de Concepción to score first vs. CD Universidad Católica?
Sports · resolves Jun 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 29¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.