The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

China bans US films in April?

Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on chinese government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chinese government — https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/china-mulling-ban-hollywood-film-releases-trump-tariffs-1236184531/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.