The market moved

+0.4ppin 24h · now

China coup attempt before 2027?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $373.83

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on chinese government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chinese government.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.4pp · China coup attempt before 2027? | Orrery