The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
Politics · resolves Jul 31 · vol $5.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.