The market moved
+41.9ppin 24h · now 92¢
Will Real Murcia CF win on 2026-08-16?
Other · resolves Aug 16 · vol $478.38
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.9pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.